By Scott Ogilvie, 24th Ward Alderman, City of St. Louis
St. Louis has a transportation problem, but it may not be the one you think. The region doesn’t have enough people to continue paying for the transportation infrastructure we’ve already built. Fueled by a MoDOT spending binge over the last decade, the region expanded its road capacity to near the highest per capita in the nation.
While total miles driven within the region declined over a decade and population barely grew, we added capacity. Traffic congestion declined while commute times increased. How is that possible? Jobs are moving farther away from where people live. The region’s transportation and land use plans are woefully at odds.
It’s more accurate to say there is no regional land use plan. Hundreds of local governments in the eight-county region, and the counties themselves, control their own land use planning via tax policy, incentives, housing, and zoning regulations. Land use rarely dovetails with existing transportation infrastructure in a way that gets the most value out of what has already been built. Instead, the region built expensive new infrastructure to low-density areas. Our uncoordinated transportation and land use policies might best be characterized by the phrase, “Build and abandon.”
While we don’t like to admit it, in a region with very slow population and job growth, transportation projects are often a zero sum game. A project that helps one area often hurts another. The population growth in St. Charles County over the last two decades was driven by road and bridge investments across the Missouri River like the Page Ave. Extension and Highway 370. (Cost for all three phases of the Page Avenue Extension was $569.2 million.) But growth in St. Charles County came at the expense of population and job declines in north St. Louis County.
Sprawl may be inevitable in a region with population growth, but the paradigm is different in St. Louis. Our region has expanded in geographic size by 400% over 50 years while population grew only 50%. Families in areas with declining population have often seen their personal assets wiped out by declining property values. The depopulation in north St. Louis that began in 1950’s had taken hold in north St. Louis County by the 1990’s.
A study just published by the Brookings Institute of the 96 largest metro areas in the county puts St. Louis’ job and land use pattern in a stark light. Between 2000 and 2012, proximity to jobs in the region declined by 15%. That means the average resident has to travel farther to work than they did just a decade ago. In poor neighborhoods, proximity to jobs declined almost twice as much, by 28%. In both these scores St. Louis is near the bottom nationwide. Our transportation policy is making it harder for everyone to get to work, and particularly so for people who are already poor.
We need to better use the transportation system we’ve already built, directing residential and commercial development to areas where underutilized transportation infrastructure exists. Unfortunately, there’s currently no regional mechanism to achieve this. Hundreds of municipalities within the eight counties retain the ability to set their own priorities and pursue their own development practices, even when it undermines other parts of the region.
Absent a region-wide framework for land use planning, the most likely way to achieve a more sustainable transportation system is simply a reduction in transportation spending from the state. A fiscally restrained MoDOT will have no choice but to limit system expansions in the region. If system growth plateaus for long enough, underutilized areas stand a better chance of rebounding.
While there are no doubt better policy solutions to achieve a sustainable transportation funding and maintenance paradigm in St. Louis, one that merges transportation investment decisions with land use planning, our political climate and fragmentation means we aren’t likely to achieve them. Absent real reform, spending much less on system expansion is the most likely path to a financially sustainable system given the region’s sluggish population growth, low immigration, and aging population.
In addition, East West Gateway, MoDOT, and local governments throughout the region should work harder to determine how to reduce overall demand for transportation. How can jobs, services, and amenities be located where people already live and where we’ve already built infrastructure? “System Preservation”, is a concept already embedded in transportation planning, it should be expanded to include “Neighborhood Preservation.” We should carefully consider how new transportation projects may hurt existing communities. We have abundant data that we’ve overbuilt our highway system, now is the perfect chance to pivot to a more sustainable approach going forward.
Articles in “From the Field” represent the opinions of the author only and do not represent the views of the Community Builders Network of Metro St. Louis or the University of Missouri-St. Louis.